Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Aug 29 · 4:30pm CT · Fargodome · Fargo, ND · CBSSN · IndoorFinal
JXST
Jacksonville State Gamecocks · C-USA · 0-1 · Away
FPI -8.9 · rank 109 · No CFBD row
+6.5 (+100)
+230
NDSU
North Dakota State Bison · Mountain West · 1-0 · Home
FPI 0.3 · rank 65 · No CFBD row
-6.5 (-120)
-285
Market vs model
Spread
NDSU -6.5
NDSU -6.5 (-120)
JXST +6.5 (+100)
JXST +6.5 (+100)
Model
NDSU -11.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NDSU
NDSU -285 · JXST +230
Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NDSU rating 0.3, JXST rating -8.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NDSU.
- Predicted margin is NDSU by 11.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 11.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NDSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
JXST
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
NDSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 11.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.