Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 2:30pm CT · Aggie Memorial Stadium · Las Cruces, NM · CBSSN2:30pm CT
UNM
New Mexico Lobos · Mountain West · 2-1 · Away
FPI 4 · rank 57 · No CFBD row
-11.5 (-110)
-455
NMSU
New Mexico State Aggies · C-USA · 1-2 · Home
FPI -13.5 · rank 123 · No CFBD row
+11.5 (-110)
+350
Market vs model
Spread
UNM -11.5
NMSU +11.5 (-110)
UNM -11.5 (-110)
UNM -11.5 (-110)
Model
UNM -15
Edge 3.5 pts UNM
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UNM
NMSU +350 · UNM -455
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NMSU rating -13.5, UNM rating 4.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NMSU.
- Predicted margin is UNM by 15.
- Edge is 3.5 points toward UNM.
- Edge 3.5 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -17.5; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UNM, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UNM
- L@ OU 14-6 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs MERC 70-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs CMU 38-7 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs MINN 20-17 OT · Fri, Dec 26
- Wvs SDSU 23-17 2OT · Fri, Nov 28
NMSU
- L@ HAW 29-19 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs MERC 51-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ FSU 34-17 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs MTSU 31-24 OT · Sat, Nov 29
- W@ UTEP 34-31 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.