Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 3:00pm CT · University Stadium (NM) · Albuquerque, NM · MW+Final
MERC
Mercyhurst Lakers · 0-3 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+42.5 (-108)
—
UNM
New Mexico Lobos · Mountain West · 2-0 · Home
FPI 4 · rank 57 · No CFBD row
-42.5 (-112)
—
Market vs model
Spread
UNM -42.5
UNM -42.5 (-112)
MERC +42.5 (-108)
MERC +42.5 (-108)
Model
UNM -18.5
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UNM
UNM — · MERC —
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UNM rating 4, MERC rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UNM.
- Predicted margin is UNM by 18.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 18.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 16; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is UNM, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MERC
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
UNM
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 18.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 16; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.