Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Aug 29 · 5:30pm CT · Rynearson Stadium · Ypsilanti, MI · ESPN+Final
SAC
Sacramento State Hornets · MAC · 0-1 · Away
FPI -25 · rank 138 · No CFBD row
+9.5 (-112)
+280
EMU
Eastern Michigan Eagles · MAC · 1-0 · Home
FPI -19.3 · rank 132 · No CFBD row
-9.5 (-108)
-355

Market vs model

Spread
EMU -9.5
EMU -9.5 (-108)
SAC +9.5 (-112)
Model
EMU -8.2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
EMU
EMU -355 · SAC +280
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • EMU rating -19.3, SAC rating -25.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to EMU.
  • Predicted margin is EMU by 8.2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 8.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.7; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is EMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

SAC

FPI -25 · rank 138 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

EMU

FPI -19.3 · rank 132 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 8.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.7; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.