Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 9:00pm CT · Hornet Stadium · Sacramento, CA · ESPN+Final
MVSU
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · 0-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+38.5 (-118)
—
SAC
Sacramento State Hornets · MAC · 1-1 · Home
FPI -25 · rank 138 · No CFBD row
-38.5 (-102)
—
Market vs model
Spread
SAC -38.5
SAC -38.5 (-102)
MVSU +38.5 (-118)
MVSU +38.5 (-118)
Model
MVSU -10.5
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MVSU
SAC — · MVSU —
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML loss
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- SAC rating -25, MVSU rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to SAC.
- Predicted margin is MVSU by 10.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 10.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is MVSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MVSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
SAC
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 10.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.