Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 1:00pm CT · Scheumann Stadium · Muncie, IN · ESPN+Final
STBK
Stony Brook Seawolves · 1-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+13.5 (-105)
+440
BALL
Ball State Cardinals · MAC · 1-1 · Home
FPI -21.6 · rank 134 · No CFBD row
-13.5 (-115)
-600
Market vs model
Spread
BALL -13.5
BALL -13.5 (-115)
STBK +13.5 (-105)
STBK +13.5 (-105)
Model
STBK -7.1
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
STBK
BALL -600 · STBK +440
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML loss
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- BALL rating -21.6, STBK rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to BALL.
- Predicted margin is STBK by 7.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is STBK, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
STBK
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
BALL
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.