Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 5:00pm CT · Pitbull Stadium · Miami, FL · ESPN+Final
BUFF
Buffalo Bulls · MAC · 1-1 · Away
FPI -16.6 · rank 128 · No CFBD row
+8.5 (-105)
+275
FIU
Florida International Panthers · C-USA · 1-1 · Home
FPI -10.8 · rank 114 · No CFBD row
-8.5 (-105)
-345
Market vs model
Spread
FIU -8.5
FIU -8.5 (-105)
BUFF +8.5 (-105)
BUFF +8.5 (-105)
Model
FIU -8.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FIU
FIU -345 · BUFF +275
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- FIU rating -10.8, BUFF rating -16.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to FIU.
- Predicted margin is FIU by 8.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 8.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is FIU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
BUFF
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
FIU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 8.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.