Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 12:00pm CT · Kelly/Shorts Stadium · Mount Pleasant, MI · ESPN+Final
COLG
Colgate Raiders · 2-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+18.5 (-112)
+900
CMU
Central Michigan Chippewas · MAC · 1-1 · Home
FPI -16.2 · rank 127 · No CFBD row
-18.5 (-108)
-1600

Market vs model

Spread
CMU -18.5
CMU -18.5 (-108)
COLG +18.5 (-112)
Model
COLG -1.7
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
CMU -1600 · COLG +900
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CMU rating -16.2, COLG rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CMU.
  • Predicted margin is COLG by 1.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 1.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

COLG

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

CMU

FPI -16.2 · rank 127 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 1.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.