Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 12:00pm CT · Yager Stadium · Oxford, OH · ESPN+Final
HC
Holy Cross Crusaders · 0-3 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+30.5 (-108)
+2000
M-OH
Miami (OH) RedHawks · MAC · 1-1 · Home
FPI -8.4 · rank 104 · No CFBD row
-30.5 (-112)
-6500
Market vs model
Spread
M-OH -30.5
M-OH -30.5 (-112)
HC +30.5 (-108)
HC +30.5 (-108)
Model
M-OH -6.1
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
M-OH
M-OH -6500 · HC +2000
Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- M-OH rating -8.4, HC rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to M-OH.
- Predicted margin is M-OH by 6.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 6.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is M-OH, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
HC
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
M-OH
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 6.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.