Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 5:00pm CT · Peden Stadium · Athens, OH · ESPN+Final/4OT
JXST
Jacksonville State Gamecocks · C-USA · 1-2 · Away
FPI -8.9 · rank 109 · No CFBD row
+1.5 (-108)
+105
OHIO
Ohio Bobcats · MAC · 1-1 · Home
FPI -10.2 · rank 112 · No CFBD row
-1.5 (-112)
-125

Market vs model

Spread
OHIO -1.5
OHIO -1.5 (-112)
JXST +1.5 (-108)
Model
OHIO -1.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
OHIO -125 · JXST +105
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • OHIO rating -10.2, JXST rating -8.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to OHIO.
  • Predicted margin is OHIO by 1.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 1.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

JXST

FPI -8.9 · rank 109 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

OHIO

FPI -10.2 · rank 112 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 1.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.4; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.