Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 2:30pm CT · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium · Amherst, MA · ESPN+Final
SHU
Sacred Heart Pioneers · 0-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+23.5 (-108)
+1200
MASS
Massachusetts Minutemen · MAC · 2-0 · Home
FPI -11.4 · rank 116 · No CFBD row
-23.5 (-112)
-2400
Market vs model
Spread
MASS -23.5
MASS -23.5 (-112)
SHU +23.5 (-108)
SHU +23.5 (-108)
Model
MASS -3.1
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MASS
MASS -2400 · SHU +1200
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MASS rating -11.4, SHU rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MASS.
- Predicted margin is MASS by 3.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 3.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is MASS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SHU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
MASS
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 3.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.