Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 5:30pm CT · Waldo Stadium · Kalamazoo, MI · ESPN+Final
MONM
Monmouth Hawks · 1-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+29.5 (-110)
+1800
WMU
Western Michigan Broncos · MAC · 1-1 · Home
FPI 0 · rank 66 · No CFBD row
-29.5 (-110)
-5000
Market vs model
Spread
WMU -29.5
WMU -29.5 (-110)
MONM +29.5 (-110)
MONM +29.5 (-110)
Model
WMU -14.5
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
WMU
WMU -5000 · MONM +1800
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- WMU rating 0, MONM rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to WMU.
- Predicted margin is WMU by 14.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 14.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is WMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MONM
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
WMU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 14.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.