Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 11:00am CT · Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium · Kent, OH · ESPN+11:00am CT
BALL
Ball State Cardinals · MAC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -21.6 · rank 134 · No CFBD row
+3.5 (-120)
+140
KENT
Kent State Golden Flashes · MAC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -23.2 · rank 137 · No CFBD row
-3.5 (+100)
-166
Market vs model
Spread
KENT -3.5
KENT -3.5 (+100)
BALL +3.5 (-120)
BALL +3.5 (-120)
Model
KENT -0.9
Edge 2.6 pts BALL
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
KENT -166 · BALL +140
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- KENT rating -23.2, BALL rating -21.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to KENT.
- Predicted margin is KENT by 0.9.
- Edge is 2.6 points toward BALL.
- Edge 2.6 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -1.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
BALL
- L@ LIB 51-15 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs STBK 41-17 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ OSU 56-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ M-OH 45-24 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ TOL 38-9 · Sat, Nov 22
KENT
- L@ OSU 59-3 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs WOF 36-15 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ SC 57-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- W@ NIU 35-31 · Fri, Nov 28
- Lvs CMU 28-16 · Wed, Nov 19
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.