Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 2:30pm CT · Broadview Stadium · Buffalo, NY · ESPN+2:30pm CT
RMU
Robert Morris Colonials · 2-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+28.5 (-110)
+2000
BUFF
Buffalo Bulls · MAC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -16.6 · rank 128 · No CFBD row
-28.5 (-110)
-6500
Market vs model
Spread
BUF -28.5
BUFF -28.5 (-110)
RMU +28.5 (-110)
RMU +28.5 (-110)
Model
RMU -2.1
Edge 30.6 pts RMU
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
RMU
BUFF -6500 · RMU +2000
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
Total 44.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- BUFF rating -16.6, RMU rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to BUFF.
- Predicted margin is RMU by 2.1.
- Edge is 30.6 points toward RMU.
- Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap -4.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is RMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
RMU
- L@ AKR 45-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs WVST 29-9 · Sat, Sep 5
- W@ WAG 28-7 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs DUQ 20-17 · Sat, Nov 22
- L@ MERC 27-13 · Sat, Nov 15
BUFF
- L@ PSU 55-13 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ FIU 33-20 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ALB 21-17 · Thu, Sep 3
- Lvs OHIO 31-26 · Fri, Nov 28
- Lvs M-OH 37-20 · Wed, Nov 19
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap -4.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.