Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 12:00pm CT · Rynearson Stadium · Ypsilanti, MI · ESPN+12:00pm CT
LIN
Lindenwood Lions · 1-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+25.5 (-110)
+2000
EMU
Eastern Michigan Eagles · MAC · 1-3 · Home
FPI -19.3 · rank 132 · No CFBD row
-25.5 (-110)
-6500

Market vs model

Spread
EMU -25.5
EMU -25.5 (-110)
LIN +25.5 (-110)
Model
LIN -4.8
Edge 30.3 pts LIN
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LIN
EMU -6500 · LIN +2000
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • EMU rating -19.3, LIN rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to EMU.
  • Predicted margin is LIN by 4.8.
  • Edge is 30.3 points toward LIN.
  • Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap -7.3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is LIN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

LIN

No FPI row · No CFBD row

  1. L@ MOST 48-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. L@ STBK 36-32 · Thu, Sep 3
  3. Wvs CHSO 20-17 · Thu, Aug 27
  4. W@ SEMO 30-13 · Sat, Nov 22
  5. Wvs EIU 42-12 · Sat, Nov 15

EMU

FPI -19.3 · rank 132 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ WIS 54-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ MSU 35-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs SJSU 27-21 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Wvs SAC 28-17 · Sat, Aug 29
  5. Lvs WMU 31-21 · Tue, Nov 25

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap -7.3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.