Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 2:30pm CT · Peden Stadium · Athens, OH · ESPN+2:30pm CT
STO
Stonehill Skyhawks · 1-3 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+34.5 (-110)
+4000
OHIO
Ohio Bobcats · MAC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -10.2 · rank 112 · No CFBD row
-34.5 (-110)
-50000
Market vs model
Spread
OHIO -34.5
OHIO -34.5 (-110)
STO +34.5 (-110)
STO +34.5 (-110)
Model
OHIO -4.3
Edge 30.2 pts STO
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
OHIO
OHIO -50000 · STO +4000
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- OHIO rating -10.2, STO rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to OHIO.
- Predicted margin is OHIO by 4.3.
- Edge is 30.2 points toward STO.
- Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap 1.8; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is OHIO, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
STO
- L@ MASS 36-14 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ UNH 42-35 · Sat, Sep 12
- W@ NH 21-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs BRY 24-6 · Sat, Aug 29
- Wvs SFPA 20-10 · Sat, Nov 22
OHIO
- L@ USA 41-36 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs JXST 29-27 4OT · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ NEB 49-21 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs UNLV 17-10 · Tue, Dec 23
- W@ BUFF 31-26 · Fri, Nov 28
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap 1.8; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.