Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 8:00pm CT · Hornet Stadium · Sacramento, CA · ESPN+8:00pm CT
MASS
Massachusetts Minutemen · MAC · 3-0 · Away
FPI -11.4 · rank 116 · No CFBD row
-4 (-108)
-185
SAC
Sacramento State Hornets · MAC · 1-3 · Home
FPI -25 · rank 138 · No CFBD row
+4 (-112)
+154
Market vs model
Spread
MASS -4
SAC +4 (-112)
MASS -4 (-108)
MASS -4 (-108)
Model
MASS -11.1
Edge 7.1 pts MASS
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MASS
SAC +154 · MASS -185
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- SAC rating -25, MASS rating -11.4.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to SAC.
- Predicted margin is MASS by 11.1.
- Edge is 7.1 points toward MASS.
- Edge 7.1 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -13.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MASS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MASS
- Wvs STO 36-14 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs SHU 37-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- W@ RUTG 37-21 · Thu, Sep 3
- Lvs BGSU 45-14 · Tue, Nov 25
- L@ OHIO 42-14 · Tue, Nov 18
SAC
- Lvs NDSU 31-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ FRES 49-3 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs MVSU 52-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ EMU 28-17 · Sat, Aug 29
- L@ UCD 31-27 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.