Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 2:30pm CT · Kelly/Shorts Stadium · Mount Pleasant, MI · ESPN+2:30pm CT
AKR
Akron Zips · MAC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -17.9 · rank 130 · No CFBD row
CMU
Central Michigan Chippewas · MAC · 2-1 · Home
FPI -16.2 · rank 127 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
CMU
AKR
Model
CMU -4.2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
CMU
CMU · AKR
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CMU rating -16.2, AKR rating -17.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CMU.
  • Predicted margin is CMU by 4.2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 4.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.7; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is CMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

AKR

FPI -17.9 · rank 130 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ MINN 41-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs RMU 45-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ WAKE 38-16 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. W@ BGSU 19-16 · Tue, Nov 18
  5. Lvs KENT 42-35 OT · Tue, Nov 11

CMU

FPI -16.2 · rank 127 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs WYO 24-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs COLG 13-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ UNM 38-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs NU 34-7 · Fri, Dec 26
  5. Lvs TOL 21-3 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 4.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.7; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.