Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 12:00pm CT · Broadview Stadium · Buffalo, NY · ESPN+12:00pm CT
WMU
Western Michigan Broncos · MAC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 0 · rank 66 · No CFBD row
BUFF
Buffalo Bulls · MAC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -16.6 · rank 128 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
BUFF
WMU
Model
WMU -14.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
WMU
BUFF · WMU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • BUFF rating -16.6, WMU rating 0.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to BUFF.
  • Predicted margin is WMU by 14.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 14.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -16.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is WMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

WMU

FPI 0 · rank 66 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ RICE 28-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs MONM 49-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ MICH 13-12 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs KENN 41-6 · Fri, Dec 19
  5. Wvs M-OH 23-13 · Sat, Dec 6

BUFF

FPI -16.6 · rank 128 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ PSU 55-13 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ FIU 33-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ALB 21-17 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Lvs OHIO 31-26 · Fri, Nov 28
  5. Lvs M-OH 37-20 · Wed, Nov 19

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 14.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -16.6; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.