Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 2:30pm CT · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium · Amherst, MA · ESPN+2:30pm CT
EMU
Eastern Michigan Eagles · MAC · 1-3 · Away
FPI -19.3 · rank 132 · No CFBD row
MASS
Massachusetts Minutemen · MAC · 3-0 · Home
FPI -11.4 · rank 116 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
MASS
EMU
Model
MASS -10.4
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MASS
MASS · EMU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MASS rating -11.4, EMU rating -19.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MASS.
  • Predicted margin is MASS by 10.4.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 10.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is MASS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

EMU

FPI -19.3 · rank 132 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ WIS 54-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ MSU 35-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs SJSU 27-21 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Wvs SAC 28-17 · Sat, Aug 29
  5. Lvs WMU 31-21 · Tue, Nov 25

MASS

FPI -11.4 · rank 116 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs STO 36-14 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs SHU 37-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. W@ RUTG 37-21 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Lvs BGSU 45-14 · Tue, Nov 25
  5. L@ OHIO 42-14 · Tue, Nov 18

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 10.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.9; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.