Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 9 · 11:00pm CT · Doyt L. Perry Stadium · Bowling Green, OH11:00pm CT
SAC
Sacramento State Hornets · MAC · 1-3 · Away
FPI -25 · rank 138 · No CFBD row
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BGSU
Bowling Green Falcons · MAC · 0-3 · Home
FPI -23.2 · rank 136 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
BGSU —
SAC —
SAC —
Model
BGSU -4.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BGSU
BGSU — · SAC —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- BGSU rating -23.2, SAC rating -25.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to BGSU.
- Predicted margin is BGSU by 4.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 4.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is BGSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SAC
- Lvs NDSU 31-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ FRES 49-3 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs MVSU 52-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ EMU 28-17 · Sat, Aug 29
- L@ UCD 31-27 · Sat, Nov 22
BGSU
- L@ ISU 55-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ NEB 56-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Lvs TAR 20-13 · Sat, Sep 5
- W@ MASS 45-14 · Tue, Nov 25
- Lvs AKR 19-16 · Tue, Nov 18
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 4.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.