Game 401866441 · The Saturday Slate

← The board

Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · Doyt L. Perry Stadium · Bowling Green, OH11:00pm CT

BALL

Ball State Cardinals · MAC · 1-2 · Away

FPI -21.6 · rank 134 · No CFBD row

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BGSU

Bowling Green Falcons · MAC · 0-3 · Home

FPI -23.2 · rank 136 · No CFBD row

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Market vs model

Spread

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BGSU —
BALL —

Model

BGSU -0.9

Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only

ML / total

Pass

BGSU — · BALL —
Total — — no O/U pick

CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

BGSU rating -23.2, BALL rating -21.6.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to BGSU.
Predicted margin is BGSU by 0.9.
There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
Model home 0.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.6; home field +2.5).
Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

BALL

FPI -21.6 · rank 134 · No CFBD row

L@ LIB 51-15 · Sat, Sep 19
Wvs STBK 41-17 · Sat, Sep 12
L@ OSU 56-3 · Sat, Sep 5
L@ M-OH 45-24 · Sat, Nov 29
L@ TOL 38-9 · Sat, Nov 22

BGSU

FPI -23.2 · rank 136 · No CFBD row

L@ ISU 55-7 · Sat, Sep 19
L@ NEB 56-7 · Sat, Sep 12
Lvs TAR 20-13 · Sat, Sep 5
W@ MASS 45-14 · Tue, Nov 25
Lvs AKR 19-16 · Tue, Nov 18

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 0.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.6; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.