Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · Kelly/Shorts Stadium · Mount Pleasant, MI11:00pm CT
WMU
Western Michigan Broncos · MAC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 0 · rank 66 · No CFBD row
CMU
Central Michigan Chippewas · MAC · 2-1 · Home
FPI -16.2 · rank 127 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
CMU
WMU
Model
WMU -13.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
WMU
CMU · WMU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CMU rating -16.2, WMU rating 0.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CMU.
  • Predicted margin is WMU by 13.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 13.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -16.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is WMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

WMU

FPI 0 · rank 66 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ RICE 28-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs MONM 49-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ MICH 13-12 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs KENN 41-6 · Fri, Dec 19
  5. Wvs M-OH 23-13 · Sat, Dec 6

CMU

FPI -16.2 · rank 127 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs WYO 24-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs COLG 13-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ UNM 38-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs NU 34-7 · Fri, Dec 26
  5. Lvs TOL 21-3 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 13.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -16.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.