Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · Hornet Stadium · Sacramento, CA11:00pm CT
OHIO
Ohio Bobcats · MAC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -10.2 · rank 112 · No CFBD row
SAC
Sacramento State Hornets · MAC · 1-3 · Home
FPI -25 · rank 138 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
SAC
OHIO
Model
OHIO -12.3
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
OHIO
SAC · OHIO
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • SAC rating -25, OHIO rating -10.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to SAC.
  • Predicted margin is OHIO by 12.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 12.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -14.8; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is OHIO, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

OHIO

FPI -10.2 · rank 112 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ USA 41-36 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs JXST 29-27 4OT · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ NEB 49-21 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs UNLV 17-10 · Tue, Dec 23
  5. W@ BUFF 31-26 · Fri, Nov 28

SAC

FPI -25 · rank 138 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs NDSU 31-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ FRES 49-3 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs MVSU 52-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ EMU 28-17 · Sat, Aug 29
  5. L@ UCD 31-27 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 12.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -14.8; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.