Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Scheumann Stadium · Muncie, IN11:00pm CT
SAC
Sacramento State Hornets · MAC · 1-3 · Away
FPI -25 · rank 138 · No CFBD row
BALL
Ball State Cardinals · MAC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -21.6 · rank 134 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
BALL
SAC
Model
BALL -5.9
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BALL
BALL · SAC
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • BALL rating -21.6, SAC rating -25.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to BALL.
  • Predicted margin is BALL by 5.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 5.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is BALL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

SAC

FPI -25 · rank 138 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs NDSU 31-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ FRES 49-3 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs MVSU 52-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ EMU 28-17 · Sat, Aug 29
  5. L@ UCD 31-27 · Sat, Nov 22

BALL

FPI -21.6 · rank 134 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ LIB 51-15 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs STBK 41-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ OSU 56-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ M-OH 45-24 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ TOL 38-9 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 5.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.4; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.