Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Tue, Nov 3 · 6:00pm CT · Yager Stadium · Oxford, OH6:00pm CT
BUFF
Buffalo Bulls · MAC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -16.6 · rank 128 · No CFBD row
—
—
M-OH
Miami (OH) RedHawks · MAC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -8.4 · rank 104 · No CFBD row
—
—

Market vs model

Spread
—
M-OH —
BUFF —
Model
M-OH -10.7
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
M-OH
M-OH — · BUFF —
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • M-OH rating -8.4, BUFF rating -16.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to M-OH.
  • Predicted margin is M-OH by 10.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 10.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 8.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is M-OH, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

BUFF

FPI -16.6 · rank 128 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ PSU 55-13 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ FIU 33-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ALB 21-17 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Lvs OHIO 31-26 · Fri, Nov 28
  5. Lvs M-OH 37-20 · Wed, Nov 19

M-OH

FPI -8.4 · rank 104 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ CIN 35-31 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs HC 45-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ PITT 59-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs FRES 18-3 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. Lvs WMU 23-13 · Sat, Dec 6

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 10.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 8.2; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML