Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Tue, Nov 3 · 11:00pm CT · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium · Amherst, MA11:00pm CT
BALL
Ball State Cardinals · MAC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -21.6 · rank 134 · No CFBD row
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MASS
Massachusetts Minutemen · MAC · 3-0 · Home
FPI -11.4 · rank 116 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
MASS —
BALL —
BALL —
Model
MASS -12.7
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MASS
MASS — · BALL —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MASS rating -11.4, BALL rating -21.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MASS.
- Predicted margin is MASS by 12.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 12.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10.2; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MASS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
BALL
- L@ LIB 51-15 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs STBK 41-17 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ OSU 56-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ M-OH 45-24 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ TOL 38-9 · Sat, Nov 22
MASS
- Wvs STO 36-14 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs SHU 37-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- W@ RUTG 37-21 · Thu, Sep 3
- Lvs BGSU 45-14 · Tue, Nov 25
- L@ OHIO 42-14 · Tue, Nov 18
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 12.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10.2; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.