Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Tue, Nov 3 · 11:00pm CT · Hornet Stadium · Sacramento, CA11:00pm CT
TOL
Toledo Rockets · MAC · 2-1 · Away
FPI -1.8 · rank 77 · No CFBD row
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SAC
Sacramento State Hornets · MAC · 1-3 · Home
FPI -25 · rank 138 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
SAC —
TOL —
TOL —
Model
TOL -20.7
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TOL
SAC — · TOL —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- SAC rating -25, TOL rating -1.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to SAC.
- Predicted margin is TOL by 20.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 20.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -23.2; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TOL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
TOL
- Wvs TEM 49-48 OT · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs CCSU 63-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ MSU 30-20 · Fri, Sep 4
- Lvs LOU 27-22 · Tue, Dec 23
- W@ CMU 21-3 · Sat, Nov 29
SAC
- Lvs NDSU 31-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ FRES 49-3 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs MVSU 52-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ EMU 28-17 · Sat, Aug 29
- L@ UCD 31-27 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 20.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -23.2; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.