Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Tue, Nov 17 · 6:00pm CT · Peden Stadium · Athens, OH6:00pm CT
BALL
Ball State Cardinals · MAC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -21.6 · rank 134 · No CFBD row
OHIO
Ohio Bobcats · MAC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -10.2 · rank 112 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
OHIO
BALL
Model
OHIO -13.9
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
OHIO
OHIO · BALL
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • OHIO rating -10.2, BALL rating -21.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to OHIO.
  • Predicted margin is OHIO by 13.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 13.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is OHIO, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

BALL

FPI -21.6 · rank 134 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ LIB 51-15 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs STBK 41-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ OSU 56-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ M-OH 45-24 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ TOL 38-9 · Sat, Nov 22

OHIO

FPI -10.2 · rank 112 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ USA 41-36 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs JXST 29-27 4OT · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ NEB 49-21 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs UNLV 17-10 · Tue, Dec 23
  5. W@ BUFF 31-26 · Fri, Nov 28

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 13.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.4; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.