Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Tue, Nov 17 · 11:00pm CT · Broadview Stadium · Buffalo, NY11:00pm CT
CMU
Central Michigan Chippewas · MAC · 2-1 · Away
FPI -16.2 · rank 127 · No CFBD row
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BUFF
Buffalo Bulls · MAC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -16.6 · rank 128 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
BUFF —
CMU —
CMU —
Model
BUFF -2.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BUFF
BUFF — · CMU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- BUFF rating -16.6, CMU rating -16.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to BUFF.
- Predicted margin is BUFF by 2.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 2.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.4; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is BUFF, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
CMU
- Wvs WYO 24-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs COLG 13-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ UNM 38-7 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs NU 34-7 · Fri, Dec 26
- Lvs TOL 21-3 · Sat, Nov 29
BUFF
- L@ PSU 55-13 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ FIU 33-20 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ALB 21-17 · Thu, Sep 3
- Lvs OHIO 31-26 · Fri, Nov 28
- Lvs M-OH 37-20 · Wed, Nov 19
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 2.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.4; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.