Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00am CT · InfoCision Stadium · Akron, OH11:00am CT
BUFF
Buffalo Bulls · MAC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -16.6 · rank 128 · No CFBD row
AKR
Akron Zips · MAC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -17.9 · rank 130 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
AKR
BUFF
Model
AKR -1.2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
AKR · BUFF
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • AKR rating -17.9, BUFF rating -16.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to AKR.
  • Predicted margin is AKR by 1.2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 1.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

BUFF

FPI -16.6 · rank 128 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ PSU 55-13 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ FIU 33-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ALB 21-17 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Lvs OHIO 31-26 · Fri, Nov 28
  5. Lvs M-OH 37-20 · Wed, Nov 19

AKR

FPI -17.9 · rank 130 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ MINN 41-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs RMU 45-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ WAKE 38-16 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. W@ BGSU 19-16 · Tue, Nov 18
  5. Lvs KENT 42-35 OT · Tue, Nov 11

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 1.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.3; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.