Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00am CT · Peden Stadium · Athens, OH11:00am CT
TOL
Toledo Rockets · MAC · 2-1 · Away
FPI -1.8 · rank 77 · No CFBD row
OHIO
Ohio Bobcats · MAC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -10.2 · rank 112 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
OHIO
TOL
Model
TOL -5.9
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TOL
OHIO · TOL
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • OHIO rating -10.2, TOL rating -1.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to OHIO.
  • Predicted margin is TOL by 5.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 5.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is TOL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

TOL

FPI -1.8 · rank 77 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs TEM 49-48 OT · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs CCSU 63-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ MSU 30-20 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Lvs LOU 27-22 · Tue, Dec 23
  5. W@ CMU 21-3 · Sat, Nov 29

OHIO

FPI -10.2 · rank 112 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ USA 41-36 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs JXST 29-27 4OT · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ NEB 49-21 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs UNLV 17-10 · Tue, Dec 23
  5. W@ BUFF 31-26 · Fri, Nov 28

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 5.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -8.4; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.