Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Nov 28 · 11:00am CT · Scheumann Stadium · Muncie, IN11:00am CT
CMU
Central Michigan Chippewas · MAC · 2-1 · Away
FPI -16.2 · rank 127 · No CFBD row
BALL
Ball State Cardinals · MAC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -21.6 · rank 134 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
BALL
CMU
Model
CMU -2.9
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
CMU
BALL · CMU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • BALL rating -21.6, CMU rating -16.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to BALL.
  • Predicted margin is CMU by 2.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 2.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is CMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

CMU

FPI -16.2 · rank 127 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs WYO 24-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs COLG 13-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ UNM 38-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs NU 34-7 · Fri, Dec 26
  5. Lvs TOL 21-3 · Sat, Nov 29

BALL

FPI -21.6 · rank 134 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ LIB 51-15 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs STBK 41-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ OSU 56-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ M-OH 45-24 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ TOL 38-9 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 2.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5.4; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.