Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Nov 28 · 11:00am CT · Doyt L. Perry Stadium · Bowling Green, OH11:00am CT
MASS
Massachusetts Minutemen · MAC · 3-0 · Away
FPI -11.4 · rank 116 · No CFBD row
BGSU
Bowling Green Falcons · MAC · 0-3 · Home
FPI -23.2 · rank 136 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
BGSU
MASS
Model
MASS -9.3
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MASS
BGSU · MASS
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • BGSU rating -23.2, MASS rating -11.4.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to BGSU.
  • Predicted margin is MASS by 9.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 9.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -11.8; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is MASS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MASS

FPI -11.4 · rank 116 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs STO 36-14 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs SHU 37-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. W@ RUTG 37-21 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Lvs BGSU 45-14 · Tue, Nov 25
  5. L@ OHIO 42-14 · Tue, Nov 18

BGSU

FPI -23.2 · rank 136 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ ISU 55-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ NEB 56-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs TAR 20-13 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. W@ MASS 45-14 · Tue, Nov 25
  5. Lvs AKR 19-16 · Tue, Nov 18

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 9.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -11.8; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.