Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Kelly/Shorts Stadium · Mount Pleasant, MI11:00pm CT
M-OH
Miami (OH) RedHawks · MAC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -8.4 · rank 104 · No CFBD row
CMU
Central Michigan Chippewas · MAC · 2-1 · Home
FPI -16.2 · rank 127 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
CMU
M-OH
Model
M-OH -5.2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
M-OH
CMU · M-OH
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CMU rating -16.2, M-OH rating -8.4.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CMU.
  • Predicted margin is M-OH by 5.2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 5.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -7.7; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is M-OH, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

M-OH

FPI -8.4 · rank 104 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ CIN 35-31 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs HC 45-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ PITT 59-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs FRES 18-3 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. Lvs WMU 23-13 · Sat, Dec 6

CMU

FPI -16.2 · rank 127 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs WYO 24-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs COLG 13-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ UNM 38-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs NU 34-7 · Fri, Dec 26
  5. Lvs TOL 21-3 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 5.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -7.7; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.