Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Oct 3 · 2:30pm CT · Yager Stadium · Oxford, OH · ESPN+2:30pm CT
BGSU
Bowling Green Falcons · MAC · 0-3 · Away
FPI -23.2 · rank 136 · No CFBD row
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M-OH
Miami (OH) RedHawks · MAC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -8.4 · rank 104 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
M-OH —
BGSU —
BGSU —
Model
M-OH -17.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
M-OH
M-OH — · BGSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- M-OH rating -8.4, BGSU rating -23.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to M-OH.
- Predicted margin is M-OH by 17.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 17.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is M-OH, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
BGSU
- L@ ISU 55-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ NEB 56-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Lvs TAR 20-13 · Sat, Sep 5
- W@ MASS 45-14 · Tue, Nov 25
- Lvs AKR 19-16 · Tue, Nov 18
M-OH
- L@ CIN 35-31 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs HC 45-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ PITT 59-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs FRES 18-3 · Sat, Dec 27
- Lvs WMU 23-13 · Sat, Dec 6
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 17.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.