Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 2:30pm CT · Kidd Brewer Stadium · Boone, NC · ESPN+Final
ME
Maine Black Bears · 1-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+21 (-112)
+850
APP
App State Mountaineers · Sun Belt · 1-0 · Home
FPI -5 · rank 87 · No CFBD row
-21 (-108)
-1450
Market vs model
Spread
APP -21
APP -21 (-108)
ME +21 (-112)
ME +21 (-112)
Model
APP -9.5
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
APP
APP -1450 · ME +850
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- APP rating -5, ME rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to APP.
- Predicted margin is APP by 9.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 9.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is APP, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ME
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
APP
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 9.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.