Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 6:30pm CT · Tiger Stadium (LA) · Baton Rouge, LA · SECN+Final
LT
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · Sun Belt · 1-1 · Away
FPI -7 · rank 98 · No CFBD row
+34.5 (-108)
+3500
#10 LSU
LSU Tigers · SEC · 2-0 · Home
FPI 20.3 · rank 8 · No CFBD row
-34.5 (-112)
-20000

Market vs model

Spread
LSU -34.5
LSU -34.5 (-112)
LT +34.5 (-108)
Model
LSU -29.8
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LSU
LSU -20000 · LT +3500
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • LSU rating 20.3, LT rating -7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to LSU.
  • Predicted margin is LSU by 29.8.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 29.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 27.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is LSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

LT

FPI -7 · rank 98 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

LSU

FPI 20.3 · rank 8 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 29.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 27.3; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.