Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 3:00pm CT · McLane Stadium · Waco, TX · ESPNUFinal
LT
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Away
FPI -7 · rank 98 · No CFBD row
+20.5 (-112)
+800
BAY
Baylor Bears · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 8.1 · rank 38 · No CFBD row
-20.5 (-108)
-1350
Market vs model
Spread
BAY -20.5
BAY -20.5 (-108)
LT +20.5 (-112)
LT +20.5 (-112)
Model
BAY -17.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BAY
BAY -1350 · LT +800
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- BAY rating 8.1, LT rating -7.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to BAY.
- Predicted margin is BAY by 17.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 17.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 15.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is BAY, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
LT
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
BAY
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 17.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 15.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.