Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 5:00pm CT · Pitbull Stadium · Miami, FL · ESPN+5:00pm CT
LIU
Long Island University Sharks · 0-4 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+35.5 (-110)
FIU
Florida International Panthers · C-USA · 1-2 · Home
FPI -10.8 · rank 114 · No CFBD row
-35.5 (-110)

Market vs model

Spread
FIU -35.5
FIU -35.5 (-110)
LIU +35.5 (-110)
Model
FIU -3.7
Edge 31.8 pts LIU
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FIU
FIU · LIU
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • FIU rating -10.8, LIU rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to FIU.
  • Predicted margin is FIU by 3.7.
  • Edge is 31.8 points toward LIU.
  • Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap 1.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is FIU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

LIU

No FPI row · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs VILL 20-16 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs ALB 35-13 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ KU 51-6 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. L@ UND 42-21 · Thu, Aug 27
  5. Wvs WAG 24-17 · Sat, Nov 22

FIU

FPI -10.8 · rank 114 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ FAU 16-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs BUFF 33-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ USF 19-9 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs UTSA 57-20 · Fri, Dec 26
  5. W@ SHSU 56-16 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap 1.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.