Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 11:00am CT · Bridgeforth Stadium · Harrisonburg, VA · ESPN+Final
WAG
Wagner Seahawks · 1-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+46.5 (-108)
—
JMU
James Madison Dukes · Sun Belt · 2-0 · Home
FPI 3.2 · rank 59 · No CFBD row
-46.5 (-112)
—
Market vs model
Spread
JMU -46.5
JMU -46.5 (-112)
WAG +46.5 (-108)
WAG +46.5 (-108)
Model
JMU -17.7
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
JMU
JMU — · WAG —
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- JMU rating 3.2, WAG rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to JMU.
- Predicted margin is JMU by 17.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 17.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 15.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is JMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
WAG
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
JMU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 17.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 15.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.