Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 5 · 5:00pm CT · S.B. Ballard Stadium · Norfolk, VA · ESPN+Final
NORF
Norfolk State Spartans · 1-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+41.5 (-108)
ODU
Old Dominion Monarchs · Sun Belt · 1-0 · Home
FPI -7.4 · rank 100 · No CFBD row
-41.5 (-112)

Market vs model

Spread
ODU -41.5
ODU -41.5 (-112)
NORF +41.5 (-108)
Model
ODU -7.1
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ODU
ODU · NORF
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ODU rating -7.4, NORF rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ODU.
  • Predicted margin is ODU by 7.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is ODU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

NORF

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

ODU

FPI -7.4 · rank 100 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.