Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:00pm CT · AmFirst Stadium · Jacksonville, AL · ESPN+Final
EKU
Eastern Kentucky Colonels · 0-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+22.5 (-108)
+1100
JXST
Jacksonville State Gamecocks · C-USA · 1-1 · Home
FPI -8.9 · rank 109 · No CFBD row
-22.5 (-112)
-2100
Market vs model
Spread
JXST -22.5
JXST -22.5 (-112)
EKU +22.5 (-108)
EKU +22.5 (-108)
Model
JXST -5.6
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
JXST
JXST -2100 · EKU +1100
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- JXST rating -8.9, EKU rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to JXST.
- Predicted margin is JXST by 5.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 5.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is JXST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
EKU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
JXST
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 5.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.