Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 11:00am CT · Williams Stadium (VA) · Lynchburg, VA · ESPN+Final
GWEB
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs · 0-3 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+28.5 (-110)
+1400
LIB
Liberty Flames · C-USA · 1-1 · Home
FPI -4.4 · rank 83 · No CFBD row
-28.5 (-110)
-3200
Market vs model
Spread
LIB -28.5
LIB -28.5 (-110)
GWEB +28.5 (-110)
GWEB +28.5 (-110)
Model
LIB -10.1
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LIB
LIB -3200 · GWEB +1400
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- LIB rating -4.4, GWEB rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to LIB.
- Predicted margin is LIB by 10.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 10.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is LIB, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
GWEB
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
LIB
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 10.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.