Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 2:30pm CT · Joan C. Edwards Stadium · Huntington, WV · ESPN+2:30pm CT
GWEB
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs · 1-3 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+23.5 (-110)
+1200
MRSH
Marshall Thundering Herd · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Home
FPI -11.9 · rank 117 · No CFBD row
-23.5 (-110)
-2400
Market vs model
Spread
MRSH -23.5
MRSH -23.5 (-110)
GWEB +23.5 (-110)
GWEB +23.5 (-110)
Model
MRSH -2.6
Edge 20.9 pts GWEB
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MRSH
MRSH -2400 · GWEB +1200
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MRSH rating -11.9, GWEB rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MRSH.
- Predicted margin is MRSH by 2.6.
- Edge is 20.9 points toward GWEB.
- Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap 0.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is MRSH, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
GWEB
- Wvs NCCU 44-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ LIB 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ WOF 17-13 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ APSU 35-17 · Thu, Aug 27
- Lvs WIU 29-24 · Sat, Nov 22
MRSH
- W@ MOST 30-24 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs MTSU 28-26 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ PSU 45-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs GASO 24-19 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ APP 26-24 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap 0.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.