Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:00pm CT · Hancock Whitney Stadium · Mobile, AL · ESPN+Final
SELA
SE Louisiana Lions · 0-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+13.5 (-108)
+425
USA
South Alabama Jaguars · Sun Belt · 1-0 · Home
FPI -7.4 · rank 99 · No CFBD row
-13.5 (-112)
-575
Market vs model
Spread
USA -13.5
USA -13.5 (-112)
SELA +13.5 (-108)
SELA +13.5 (-108)
Model
USA -7.1
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USA
USA -575 · SELA +425
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- USA rating -7.4, SELA rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to USA.
- Predicted margin is USA by 7.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is USA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SELA
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
USA
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 7.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.