Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 3:30pm CT · Malone Stadium · Monroe, LA · ESPN+Final
SELA
SE Louisiana Lions · 2-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+9.5 (-102)
—
ULM
UL Monroe Warhawks · Sun Belt · 0-3 · Home
FPI -22.6 · rank 135 · No CFBD row
-9.5 (-118)
—
Market vs model
Spread
ULM -9.5
ULM -9.5 (-118)
SELA +9.5 (-102)
SELA +9.5 (-102)
Model
SELA -8.1
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
SELA
ULM — · SELA —
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ULM rating -22.6, SELA rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ULM.
- Predicted margin is SELA by 8.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 8.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -10.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is SELA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SELA
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
ULM
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 8.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -10.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.