Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:30pm CT · Joe Aillet Stadium · Ruston, LA · ESPN+Final
NWST
Northwestern State Demons · 0-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+44.5 (-105)
—
LT
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · Sun Belt · 1-0 · Home
FPI -7 · rank 98 · No CFBD row
-44.5 (-115)
—
Market vs model
Spread
LT -44.5
LT -44.5 (-115)
NWST +44.5 (-105)
NWST +44.5 (-105)
Model
LT -7.5
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LT
LT — · NWST —
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- LT rating -7, NWST rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to LT.
- Predicted margin is LT by 7.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 7.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is LT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NWST
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
LT
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 7.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.