Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00pm CT · Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium · Lafayette, LA · ESPN+Final
LAM
Lamar Cardinals · 1-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+20.5 (-110)
+750
UL
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns · Sun Belt · 1-0 · Home
FPI -5.5 · rank 89 · No CFBD row
-20.5 (-110)
-1200

Market vs model

Spread
UL -20.5
UL -20.5 (-110)
LAM +20.5 (-110)
Model
UL -9
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UL
UL -1200 · LAM +750
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UL rating -5.5, LAM rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UL.
  • Predicted margin is UL by 9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.5; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is UL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

LAM

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

UL

FPI -5.5 · rank 89 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.5; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.