Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 16 · 7:00pm CT · Brooks Stadium (SC) · Conway, SC · ESPN27:00pm CT
APP
App State Mountaineers · Sun Belt · 3-0 · Away
FPI -5 · rank 87 · No CFBD row
CCU
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Home
FPI -8.3 · rank 103 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
CCU
APP
Model
APP -0.8
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
CCU · APP
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CCU rating -8.3, APP rating -5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CCU.
  • Predicted margin is APP by 0.8.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 0.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

APP

FPI -5 · rank 87 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs CLT 26-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ ECU 27-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ME 55-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs GASO 29-10 · Mon, Dec 29
  5. Lvs ARST 30-29 · Sat, Nov 29

CCU

FPI -8.3 · rank 103 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ DEL 22-14 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs FOR 45-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ WVU 31-24 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs LT 23-14 · Tue, Dec 30
  5. Lvs JMU 59-10 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 0.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3.3; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.